Seeing is not believing

I was thinking about charlatans and I read someone talking about an encounter with a fraudster.

In the encounter a journalist met someone who was making wild claims within their sphere. The journalist thought it sounded odd because they had not heard of this person and the events sounded unlikely but in that moment they put it down to ignorance. The journalist doubted themselves and reasoned that there must have been something that they did not know about the thing they had written and studied extensively.

Much later it turned out that the stories were complete fabrications and the guy was publicly exposed as a fraud.

I can think of a few occasions when I have seen things that "felt wrong". For example I recently saw something that looked quite attractive to a person like me with time on my hands. Investigating further it turned out to be something run by a cultish organisation.

I am curious to hear stories about where you have been in these sorts of situations and were or were not taken in.

Comments

  • Gramps49Gramps49 Shipmate
    edited March 26
    Some time ago, we had put it out that we were open to hosting an international student for a year. We had done this for the previous three years. We had someone respond. It sounded legit. He said he would send a check to cover the whole year, but he also would include money which he wanted to be sent to a PO Box elsewhere through a money order. I think you know where this is going. We got the check. It appeared to be drawn from a well known company. Mrs Gramps was hesitant. She wanted to see the check clear before we sent out the money order. It did not clear. We called the police and the post office inspectors office to report the scam. Never heard anything back. Also called the company listed on the check. The woman from the company said they had been receiving several reports that someone was sending out unauthorized checks in their name, but it was like whacking a mole.

    Another scam that has been going around. You receive a text from your "pastor" saying he would like to give $50 gift cards to staff members, but he does not have the time to get the cards. He wonders if you can get them. All you have to do is send the numbers on the cards back to him. He will reimburse you later. We have had several people report seeing this scam. It comes through about once a year.
  • Barnabas62Barnabas62 Shipmate, Host Emeritus
    Not exactly something I’ve been involved in but some things I have seen recently in TV series. Firstly in “Silent Witness” and secondly in “ The Capture”. In both cases the inference is that image manipulation (AI) can be used to frame the innocent for other purposes.

    The inference is that seeing may not be believing. Of course the series are fiction but both suggest that visual evidence may be fabricated, and plausibly so.

    I do believe this is now possible but I do not know enough of the technology to know whether such fabrication can be detected. At any rate, it suggests that honest use of video evidence may need some process of independent verification.

    I appreciate this may not be the purpose of the OP but it strikes me as an intriguing offshoot.
  • KarlLBKarlLB Shipmate
    Barnabas62 wrote: »
    Not exactly something I’ve been involved in but some things I have seen recently in TV series. Firstly in “Silent Witness” and secondly in “ The Capture”. In both cases the inference is that image manipulation (AI) can be used to frame the innocent for other purposes.

    The inference is that seeing may not be believing. Of course the series are fiction but both suggest that visual evidence may be fabricated, and plausibly so.

    I do believe this is now possible but I do not know enough of the technology to know whether such fabrication can be detected. At any rate, it suggests that honest use of video evidence may need some process of independent verification.

    I appreciate this may not be the purpose of the OP but it strikes me as an intriguing offshoot.

    It's already happening on social media. Generally fairly badly and obviously but it's advancing terrifyingly quickly. I'm rather worried about it.
  • Thanks for these comments, some things I had not considered.

    I think the thing that particularly interests me is when a fraudster is able to persuade someone with actual expertise in something to doubt themselves.

    But there is also another whole layer of complexity when the senses themselves are so easily fooled.

    Do you think believers are more or less susceptible to fraud in your experience?

    Putting my cards on the table, I think my main bedrock assumption is that a lot of believers are being exploited by fraudsters.
  • For example it feels like a lot that is happening in American politics at the moment is essentially a con couched in religious language. Similarly Hindu nationalism in India and the various types of Islamism.

    Some of it looks so ridiculous that it seems obvious that it is a con, but maybe there is something about being a believer that makes these things more attractive.

    Unbelievers are obviously not immune to fraudsters, but maybe it is something about the language of religion that makes that kind of con attractive to believers?
  • GwaiGwai Epiphanies Host
    I would say that people who deeply want to believe a thing are vulnerable to a con about it. So this can apply to believers, but works well in other arenas too. For instance, an intelligent person I know, and relevantly an atheist, shared a political story that was witty and appealing on facebook. I wanted to believe it because it supports my political beliefs, but I was not so sure. When I mentioned it to my spouse, he said he suspected that was fake. It was indeed fake. I was close to being taken in even though I am usually pretty savvy, because it fit my beliefs about politics and told me things I wanted to hear.
  • Barnabas62Barnabas62 Shipmate, Host Emeritus
    Yes. I think I was helped a great deal by developing a historical critical approach to history in general and scripture in particular. It is easy to be seduced by our own preferences, as Gwai points out.

    In this context I’m more than a little concerned by the impact of AI on visual imagery. The misinformers know they have various audiences they can manipulate and deceive.

    Deception is a very subtle temptation and I guess we’re all going to need to be increasingly aware of the means by which we can be deceived.

    Fascinating and very topical topic!
  • FirenzeFirenze Shipmate, Host Emeritus
    Seeing is not believing, nor is hearing. The greater part of calls on the landline are scams. An Asian accent and a noisy background is a strong indication that this is not Microsoft/your bank/a government department. But presumably they deceive some people or they wouldn't persist.

    Another thing to disbelieve are the text messages about undelivered parcels or impending penalties if you don't do X.

    It's bred in me such suspicion that when a young chugger in the street asked my name, intending to initiate a friendly chat, I snapped back 'I don't give out personal information'.

    But I can see that, crude as they are, they are probing for vulnerabilities - fear, confusion, gullibility, desire to believe.
  • Barnabas62 wrote: »
    Yes. I think I was helped a great deal by developing a historical critical approach to history in general and scripture in particular. It is easy to be seduced by our own preferences, as Gwai points out.

    In this context I’m more than a little concerned by the impact of AI on visual imagery. The misinformers know they have various audiences they can manipulate and deceive.

    Deception is a very subtle temptation and I guess we’re all going to need to be increasingly aware of the means by which we can be deceived.

    Fascinating and very topical topic!

    Would you be able to explain what you mean, please? Do you mean that the "historical critical approach" makes one more (or less) susceptible to fraud?
  • Barnabas62Barnabas62 Shipmate, Host Emeritus
    edited 7:52AM
    From Google. Sorry it’s long.
    The historical-critical method is a, scholarly Wikipedia approach to investigating the "world behind the text" of ancient documents, particularly the Bible. It uses scientific, historical tools to determine a text's origin, authorship, historical context, and original meaning. It is crucial for distinguishing between the text's original context and its later interpretation.

    Key Aspects of the Historical-Critical Method
    Purpose: To uncover the historical reality and intended meaning of a text, rather than just its theological or devotional interpretation.
    Techniques: It uses various methods to analyze texts:
    Source Criticism: Identifies the sources used by the author to understand the text's composition.
    Form Criticism: Examines the literary form and the original, oral "life situation" (Sitz im Leben) of the text.
    Tradition Criticism: Investigates the process and stages of the text's transmission.
    Textual Criticism: Aims to reconstruct the original text as it left the author's hands.
    Assumptions: It often treats the Bible as a human document, subjected to historical study similar to any other ancient text.
    Focus on Context: Understanding the historical, social, and cultural situation in which a text was produced is essential for interpretation.

    Criticisms and Limitations
    Skepticism: Some argue it can lean towards excessive skepticism, potentially ignoring the possibility of supernatural events, such as miracles.
    Methodological Challenges: The method can be used to isolate texts, missing their broader theological, literary, or "mystical" meanings.
    Secular Materialism: Some critics argue it can be influenced by a secular worldview that assumes a purely physical or material reality, potentially ignoring different perspectives.
    Anachronism: There is a risk of misinterpreting the text by applying modern, anachronistic assumptions.

    Relevance and Application
    It has been the cornerstone of biblical scholarship for over a century.
    It is considered a necessary tool for understanding the "original meaning" and to avoid misinterpretation.
    It is widely used in both religious and secular contexts, often with the aim of providing a more accurate understanding of the text.

    I think it helps to combat credulity. The criticism that it may induce scepticism has its point, but my gut feel is that in an increasingly deceptive era, where the tools of deception are becoming ever more sophisticated, we need the tools of a necessary scepticism to avoid that deception. The thinking goes wider than biblical analysis.

    Hope this helps. It’s a big topic.
  • Barnabas62Barnabas62 Shipmate, Host Emeritus
    edited 8:04AM
    Apologies for the double post. I’m generally in favour of critical methodologies, e.g peer review in the scientific field, because of their openness. We are able to check the findings of both the proponents of ideas and the criticism of those proponents.

    The key factor is openness. Essentially it also opens the mind to the value of analysis in testing assertions.
  • LatchKeyKidLatchKeyKid Shipmate
    Seeing is a learned skill.
    When I did microscopy we were shown that you should not believe some of the things you saw as they were artifacts of microscopy.
    It took the invention of telescopes to learn that the planets are different sizes, and initially there was debate over whether the size differences were artifacts produced by the telescope.
    X-ray images do not convey information until the brain is trained to read them.
    Magicians can fool scientists, but other magicians can see how the tricks are being performed.
    I am sure that scammers would be more expert in seeing scams.
  • I'm sorry I know I focus on details but I could not read past the part that said "The historical-critical method is a, scholarly Wikipedia approach.."

    I therefore assume this is generated by AI and is unreliable.

    I am happy to have a conversation about a Wikipedia page and what it says but I cannot engage with garbled nonsense.
  • Seeing is a learned skill.
    When I did microscopy we were shown that you should not believe some of the things you saw as they were artifacts of microscopy.
    It took the invention of telescopes to learn that the planets are different sizes, and initially there was debate over whether the size differences were artifacts produced by the telescope.
    X-ray images do not convey information until the brain is trained to read them.
    Magicians can fool scientists, but other magicians can see how the tricks are being performed.
    I am sure that scammers would be more expert in seeing scams.

    I was once in a university lecture a long time ago when we still used Overhead Projectors. If I recall a student was explaining a graph on a slide.

    A particularly picky professor asked about a data point on the screen which did not seem to be explained. Which, to be clear, is nonsense anyway as outliers are by definition, lying outside the explicable data.

    The flustered student took the slide off the OHP and the mark remained. It was a fly on the projector plate.
  • Barnabas62Barnabas62 Shipmate, Host Emeritus
    I'm sorry I know I focus on details but I could not read past the part that said "The historical-critical method is a, scholarly Wikipedia approach.."

    I therefore assume this is generated by AI and is unreliable.

    I am happy to have a conversation about a Wikipedia page and what it says but I cannot engage with garbled nonsense.
    I’ll see if I can find a better source. I’ve been looking at historical criticism methodologies for over forty years and apart from the strange Wikipedia reference (which puzzled me too, that looks like a pretty good summary.
  • Barnabas62Barnabas62 Shipmate, Host Emeritus
    For a Christian perspective on the methodology and a well known critique of fundamentalism, you could try James Barr’s “Fundamentalism”. Although not specifically about historical criticism, it is very good at pointing to the differences between a historical critical approach to scripture and a fundamentalist approach.

    Meanwhile I’ll try to get you something online. I didn’t want to divert the thread of course. My second post about the value of critical methodologies in an increasingly deceptive age is worth following up anyway, particularly with reference to the value of the scientific method (which is akin to historical criticism).
  • Barnabas62Barnabas62 Shipmate, Host Emeritus
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Historical_criticism

    I’m not sure how you feel in general about Wikipedia links but this one is verifiable by reference to sources.

    Personally I don’t mind using Wikipedia but I don’t treat it as gospel. I read the entries with my critical hat on!
  • I'm still not following. How are you saying this has impacted on whether believers are taken in by scams?
  • Barnabas62Barnabas62 Shipmate, Host Emeritus
    I’m actually saying that an educated scepticism is a good guard against gullibility. But an educated scepticism needs to be developed.

    At least I thought that’s what I was saying. Apologies if I’ve misled into believing that I was inferring the opposite.

    Mind you, a careless scepticism is just another kind of gullibility!
  • Gramps49Gramps49 Shipmate
    A parable about educated skepticism

    The Parable of the Scholar's Lantern

    A scholar once crafted a beautiful lantern, convinced its glow could reveal every hidden thing. Proud of his creation, he carried it everywhere, shining it on other people’s ideas and pointing out their flaws.

    One night, walking home, he stumbled into a ditch. “Impossible,” he muttered. “My lantern exposes all dangers.”

    A passerby offered a hand. “Your lantern is bright,” she said, “but it only shows what you point it at. It can’t show what you refuse to see.”

    Only then did the scholar notice: the lantern had never once been turned toward his own feet.
  • Barnabas62Barnabas62 Shipmate, Host Emeritus
    That’s careless scepticism!
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