Papa's health

We have been told the Pope is in critical condition tonight. He reportedly had an asthma attack on is anemic. This is on top of the double pneumonia.

Could this be it?

Will he be called home

or

Will he recover?

If this is the end, who do you think the Conclave will choose?

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Comments

  • Gramps49 wrote: »

    We have been told the Pope is in critical condition tonight. He reportedly had an asthma attack on is anemic. This is on top of the double pneumonia.

    Could this be it?

    Will he be called home

    or

    Will he recover?
    How in the world would any of us know?

  • Praying for recovery. 🕯
  • TelfordTelford Shipmate
    edited February 23
    Gramps49 wrote: »
    If this is the end, who do you think the Conclave will choose?
    I have no idea who the candidates are.
    I wish him a recovery and good health. Perhaps he might consider retirement.

  • Telford, trust me, +++ Francis will not consider retirement. He is after all a Jesuit ( member of the Society of Jesus whose founder Ignatius of Loyola who was the toughest of the tough. +++ Francis went through 14 years as a Jesuit before ordination as a priest. He will hang on for as long as he thinks he is effective and if he thinks ( after consultation with hos doctors) that the end is nigh, he will pull the pin. Retirement is not in his vocabulary especially in these troubled times. I think he has no intention of being another JP2 who was effectively incapable in his last years with the strings being operated by the worst of the worst.
  • TurquoiseTasticTurquoiseTastic Kerygmania Host
    This is opaque to me @Sojourner . What do you mean "pull the pin"?
  • stetsonstetson Shipmate
    Sojourner wrote: »
    +++ Francis went through 14 years as a Jesuit before ordination as a priest.

    You mean he was a lay member of the Jesuit order for 14 years before he became a priest?
  • No he would have made his first vows following novitiate ( 2 years) then tertianship (5 years approx) and another few years before priestly ordination. I sugget some reading about Ignatiab rule before any further comments.
  • Things have changed a bit: a couple of mates of mine joined the Jesuits in their mid 20s ( rather than at 18)both were lawyers. They were priested 10 years down the track around 2014. Times have changed!
  • This is opaque to me @Sojourner . What do you mean "pull the pin"?


    Do not resuscitate ( or keep me comfortable but no ridiculous intervention). And yes as a newly retired medico I can say so.
  • /slight tangent/

    *Do Not Resuscitate* was, in the UK some years ago, altered to *Do Not Attempt To Resuscitate*, which IMHO was a sensible move, reflecting reality.

    /end of tangent/

    As far as a successor to Pope Francis is concerned, I expect the job will be given to another elderly (probably) man...
    :wink:
  • TurquoiseTasticTurquoiseTastic Kerygmania Host
    Sojourner wrote: »
    This is opaque to me @Sojourner . What do you mean "pull the pin"?


    Do not resuscitate ( or keep me comfortable but no ridiculous intervention). And yes as a newly retired medico I can say so.

    Ah right. Yes I understand (I am from a medical family myself although IANAD). But mightn't that mean an indeterminate period of being unable to carry out his duties?
  • Alan29Alan29 Shipmate
    Sojourner wrote: »
    This is opaque to me @Sojourner . What do you mean "pull the pin"?


    Do not resuscitate ( or keep me comfortable but no ridiculous intervention). And yes as a newly retired medico I can say so.

    Ah right. Yes I understand (I am from a medical family myself although IANAD). But mightn't that mean an indeterminate period of being unable to carry out his duties?

    The people at the Vatican will keep things ticking over if the Pope becomes incapacitated. JPII was a shell of a man for several years before he died and things carried on.
  • TurquoiseTasticTurquoiseTastic Kerygmania Host
    Yes but that is exactly what @Sojourner implies Pope Francis would *not* want to do. Surely resigning would be better under such circumstances.
  • Who are the candidates? Technically any cardinal at the conclave. What I was looking for was what type of man (99.9% likely) would be elected. In the past, it seems they would alternate between relatively liberal like Francis and relatively conservative like Benedict. Francis, though, has been active in stacking the deck as it were with retiring some very conservative cardinals with more liberal men. Will that make a difference?
  • Surely it will be some mysterious person feom distant parts whom Francis has created cardinal 'in pectore'?
  • I hope that if, God forbid, Pope Francis passes, we get another pope who will keep speaking truth to power in these incredibly dark times.
  • ArethosemyfeetArethosemyfeet Shipmate, Heaven Host
    Gramps49 wrote: »
    Who are the candidates? Technically any cardinal at the conclave. What I was looking for was what type of man (99.9% likely) would be elected. In the past, it seems they would alternate between relatively liberal like Francis and relatively conservative like Benedict. Francis, though, has been active in stacking the deck as it were with retiring some very conservative cardinals with more liberal men. Will that make a difference?

    They don't have to elect a cardinal, do they? I thought they could technically elect any baptised Catholic man. Electing a cardinal is most likely, of course, but a non-cardinal archbishop is not impossible. Admittedly it's ~650 years since they last did, so it would be almost as big a shock as Benedict XVI's decision to retire.
  • Gramps49 wrote: »
    Francis, though, has been active in stacking the deck as it were with retiring some very conservative cardinals with more liberal men. Will that make a difference?

    I'm not RC but I don't think this is quite correct? As an observer all the well situated candidates seem to range from conservative to ultra-conservative, and just because Francis appointed a lot of them, doesn't mean the mass of the cardinals are all liberals.
  • As Arethosemyfeet suggests the Cardinals can in theory elect anyone to be the Bishop of Rome/ In practice it will be one of the Cardinals themselves. The chosen nominee would have to accept the nomination. Since this has been done for centuries within the conclave it is something else which means that the nominee will be one of the Cardinals.

  • Gramps49Gramps49 Shipmate
    edited February 23
    Can a layman become the next Pope? According to this article, it has happened only four times. The odds against a layperson becoming a pope is about 3billion to 1, in my estimation.
  • la vie en rougela vie en rouge Purgatory Host, Circus Host
    Francis was the first non-European in over a millennium. I wouldn't be at all surprised to see them elect another one.
  • Francis was the first non-European in over a millennium. I wouldn't be at all surprised to see them elect another one.

    Mrs Gramps and I were talking about this last night. We wondered if the next one could be African or Asian.
  • Alan29Alan29 Shipmate
    I'm keeping my eye on Tagle from the Philppines and McElroy of Washington. McElroy was made a cardinal instead of the more usual Archbp of Los Angeles who is a noted conservative and was McElroys immediate boss. No lover of Trumpism either.
  • FirenzeFirenze Shipmate, Host Emeritus
    I remember seeing Alec McCowan in Hadrian VII very many years ago. Entertaining but improbable.
  • Alan29 wrote: »
    I'm keeping my eye on Tagle from the Philppines and McElroy of Washington. McElroy was made a cardinal instead of the more usual Archbp of Los Angeles who is a noted conservative and was McElroys immediate boss. No lover of Trumpism either.

    Frankly, I cannot see an American named a pope. Tagle seems interesting.
  • In theory the cardinals could nominate anyone. The nominee however would have to be baptised or ready to accept baptism if not already baptised.. In order to accept baptism he would have to declare his faith in Christ (and the Church !)He would then have to be entered into orders of deacon, priest and bishop.
    This has occasionally happened many centuries ago when people often delayed baptism almost till the moment of death.
    @stetson - not all members of the Jesuit Order or the Society of Jesus are priests. As sojourner said there are many years of preparation before ordination as a Jesuit priest and there are also Jesuit Brothers who are not priests. However as members of the Order they are not 'lay people' at least not in the way that the RC church would normally describe 'lay people'.

    There are some people who may loosely be described a 'lay Jesuits'. These are usually young people who may carry out some voluntary service work for the Order without formally being members of the Society and I am not sure if the term is used in any official way.
  • DoublethinkDoublethink Admin, 8th Day Host
    I thought they were monks ?
  • TurquoiseTasticTurquoiseTastic Kerygmania Host
    But you don't have to be a priest to be a monk.
  • Alan29Alan29 Shipmate
    edited February 23
    I thought they were monks ?

    Not monks. Monks spend their days in their monastery.
    Jesuits are very much out there in the world. In Latin America they have been politically active at times on the side of the poor and have been made to suffer for it by unpleasant regimes. It was their political activism that made them very unpopular with governments in the late 18th century and they were suppressed for a while and expelled from various European countries and their colonies.
  • Gramps49 wrote: »
    Francis was the first non-European in over a millennium. I wouldn't be at all surprised to see them elect another one.

    Mrs Gramps and I were talking about this last night. We wondered if the next one could be African or Asian.

    Yes, I wondered that, too.
  • Ms Gramps is a novice in the Benedictine order. There is a rather large group of novices in our area--Lutherans, Methodists, as well as Roman Catholic that I know of. They are attached to the St. Gertrude Monastery in Cottonwood ID.

    /tangent
  • DafydDafyd Hell Host
    Alan29 wrote: »
    Not monks. Monks spend their days in their monastery.
    Jesuits are very much out there in the world.
    Are the Jesuits friars, and if not what is the difference?

  • First, prayers for Francis' health.

    But, yes, he will die one day. I agree with @Sojourner that he won't "retire." He'll die with his boots on.

    As for a successor, this thread is using the word "could" an awful lot. I find that a useless term. Under the rules, anybody "could" be the next Pope. You, me, Vladimir Putin, Donald Trump "could" be the next Pope....but none of that is going to happen.

    Realistically, Africa is a likely source. Africa is pretty much the hotbed of Catholicism right now. Francis was from South America. I doubt they will go back to that well immediately...but Central America? That is a possibility. I could certain see somebody from Mexico being selected, particularly with He Who Must Not Be Named as President of the U.S. So, assuming (without wanting) that Francis dies in the near future, I would place my bets on a Mexican as Pope, followed by African.
  • Alan29Alan29 Shipmate
    Dafyd wrote: »
    Alan29 wrote: »
    Not monks. Monks spend their days in their monastery.
    Jesuits are very much out there in the world.
    Are the Jesuits friars, and if not what is the difference?

    Friars are Franciscans, founded by St Francis of Assisi.
    Jesuits were founded by Ignatius Loyola and come under the umbrella term "clerics regular" i.e. clerics who live together under a Rule. It pretty much covers all who are not Benedictines, Dominicans or Franciscans.
  • Alan29 wrote: »
    Dafyd wrote: »
    Alan29 wrote: »
    Not monks. Monks spend their days in their monastery.
    Jesuits are very much out there in the world.
    Are the Jesuits friars, and if not what is the difference?

    Friars are Franciscans, founded by St Francis of Assisi.
    My understanding is that a friar is a male member of a mendicant order.
    Along with the Franciscans (aka Grey Friars), aren’t there also Dominican friars (aka Black Friars), and Carmelite friars (aka White Friars)?

  • Yes
  • DoublethinkDoublethink Admin, 8th Day Host
    I thinking "living together under a rule" is what I would understand as being a monk - assuming the rule specifies you can't marry or amass material wealth.
  • Alan29Alan29 Shipmate
    I thinking "living together under a rule" is what I would understand as being a monk - assuming the rule specifies you can't marry or amass material wealth.

    Benedictine monks also take a vow of stability which means they join a specific community not just the order in general, and remain a monk of that community. Monks sing the Office together (it is a big thing) whereas Friars are not so tied to community in that way. Friars also tend to be more mobile and not spend their entire life as a member of a specific community, they join an Order, not a specific monastery or abbey.
  • Barnabas62Barnabas62 Shipmate, Host Emeritus
    With sadness, given his health history and present condition, it seems unlikely that he will survive his time in hospital. Much as I would like him to.

    So far as succession goes, he is very unlikely to be succeeded by another Jesuit.
  • I remember hearing a grumpy retired army chaplain discoursing on the election of the (Anglican) Bishop of Ottawa. He made the ineresting point that one had to look at the electorate before talking about a possible succesful candidate. The candidate will reflect the electorate's demography, and their aspirations.

    In this case (we write while Francis lives) we have 74 of the 138 are European or North American, a bare majority; 18 African, 24 Asian & Oceanian 28, South American 18. Of the 138 electors, 34 are members of religious orders (I thought it would be higher, given Frank's inclination to appoint members of orders) but only 4 Jesuits. From the eastern churches, we have 6 electors.

    From this, I would think we can't predict much. Perhaps that the succesful candidate will not be from the US, and not because of his own merits. And of course, we all have a list of those who Should Not Be Chosen.
  • Jengie JonJengie Jon Shipmate
    edited February 24
    OK technical information only
    The Benedictine vows:
    • Obedience
    • Stability
    • and Conversion of Life
    (Poverty/Simplicity and Celibacy come through working out the implications of the conversion of life)

    The Evangelical vow (Franciscan +):
    • Obedience
    • Celibacy
    • Poverty

    Many orders will have their own version of the vows and differing rules.

    As the terms are technical to the religious life if you are interested I suggest you at least google and read the AI summary as they do not quite mean what you may think they mean.
  • I understand 80% of the cardinals have been named by Francis. Nothing like stacking the deck.
  • Gramps49 wrote: »
    I understand 80% of the cardinals have been named by Francis. Nothing like stacking the deck.

    As above that doesn't mean they are all liberals.
  • Gramps49 wrote: »
    I understand 80% of the cardinals have been named by Francis. Nothing like stacking the deck.

    That's inherent in the system or, more bluntly, that's the point. And given the age of most cardinals, turnover is inevitable.

    At least they've dropped the cardinal-nephews.
  • CrœsosCrœsos Shipmate
    Gramps49 wrote: »
    I understand 80% of the cardinals have been named by Francis. Nothing like stacking the deck.

    That's the advantage of a long papacy. It's also the advantage of the rule (established in 1970) limiting cardinal suffrage in papal elections to those under 80 years old. It's a system that allows popes some say over their successors, but not direct appointment.
  • ArethosemyfeetArethosemyfeet Shipmate, Heaven Host
    Crœsos wrote: »
    Gramps49 wrote: »
    I understand 80% of the cardinals have been named by Francis. Nothing like stacking the deck.

    That's the advantage of a long papacy. It's also the advantage of the rule (established in 1970) limiting cardinal suffrage in papal elections to those under 80 years old. It's a system that allows popes some say over their successors, but not direct appointment.

    It does make you wonder what would happen if the Pope were in a coma for a number of years prior to death. Could you reach a situation where there were no eligible cardinals or is there a mechanism for appointing cardinals when the Pope is incapacitated?
  • Meanwhile, HH seems to be slightly improved in health:

    https://www.vaticannews.va/en/pope/news/2025-02/pope-francis-medical-condition-update-hspo-24-feb-pm.html

    I like the fact that he's in touch with the RC parish priest in Gaza.
  • CrœsosCrœsos Shipmate
    It does make you wonder what would happen if the Pope were in a coma for a number of years prior to death. Could you reach a situation where there were no eligible cardinals or is there a mechanism for appointing cardinals when the Pope is incapacitated?

    That seems unlikely, given that popes often appoint cardinals younger than themselves for this very reason. The youngest current cardinal just turned 45. Of the 252 current cardinals, 138 are currently eligible to be cardinal electors. 58 of the current cardinal electors are under 70 years old, so it would have to be a particularly long coma.
  • HelenEvaHelenEva Shipmate
    edited February 25
    Crœsos wrote: »
    It does make you wonder what would happen if the Pope were in a coma for a number of years prior to death. Could you reach a situation where there were no eligible cardinals or is there a mechanism for appointing cardinals when the Pope is incapacitated?

    That seems unlikely, given that popes often appoint cardinals younger than themselves for this very reason. The youngest current cardinal just turned 45. Of the 252 current cardinals, 138 are currently eligible to be cardinal electors. 58 of the current cardinal electors are under 70 years old, so it would have to be a particularly long coma.

    I bet the Catholic Church has a plan even for losing the whole college of Cardinals and the Pope in one go. Sort of equivalent to Governments working out on paper who would be in charge in the awful event of a bomb or something taking out all the current people. The UK equivalent would be taking out the whole royal family by blowing up Remembrance Sunday or the Government by blowing up Parliament during Prime Minister's Questions. There's bound to be a precedence order for how things carry on in the event of a disaster I'd have thought. Sounds like a Dan Brown plot now I come to think about it.

    Edited to add: I'm glad the Pope seems to be doing better - long may that continue.
  • CrœsosCrœsos Shipmate
    edited February 25
    HelenEva wrote: »
    I bet the Catholic Church has a plan even for losing the whole college of Cardinals and the Pope in one go. Sort of equivalent to Governments working out on paper who would be in charge in the awful event of a bomb or something taking out all the current people. . . . Sounds like a Dan Brown plot now I come to think about it.

    Or something by Walter M. Miller, Jr.
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