Canada's Political Landscape - 2026

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  • stetsonstetson Shipmate
    The US also demanded a veto over Canada's future trade agreements with third countries and a right of first refusal on critical mineral exports from Canada.

    No Canadian negociator would ever agree to such terms which would sign away Canadian soveereignty.

    Sometimes I think we are back in the Banana Wars era of American foreign policy.

    My theory on Trump has always been that he THINKS he can return the USA to that sorta supposedly grand era, BUT thinks he's found a way to legitimize it by using freely-entered(at least legally speaking) negotiations rather than military aggression.

    As someone who believes that soft-power is an indispensable part of any long-term imperialist agenda, I will say that Trump REALLY doesn't know how to play that card at all. The closest I've seen to anyone in his admin demonstrating a feeling for local political culture in their annexationist rhetoric is Bessant saying something like "Albertans are a hard-working, entreprenurial people", which is totally boilerplate and doesn't actually address any precise issues that might be of concern to Albertans beyond the far-right fringe. And they have completely incinerated themselves with public sentiment everywhere else in Canada, with the PQ, an economically continentalist party previously jaunty about not letting the Trump bogeyman deter them from a referendum, now saying they won't hold one while Trump is in the White House.
  • stetsonstetson Shipmate
    stetson wrote: »
    ...the PQ, an economically continentalist party previously jaunty about not letting the Trump bogeyman deter them from a referendum, [is] now saying they won't hold one while Trump is in the White House.

    Not that I think grabbing Quebec would be in Trump or the USA's interests at all, in fact, it's probably the LAST province they'd wanna try and assimilate. But if you're seriously interested in annexing some of the more absorbable provinces, anything that weakens the unity of the overall nation is probably a good thing.
  • sionisaissionisais Shipmate
    The US also demanded a veto over Canada's future trade agreements with third countries and a right of first refusal on critical mineral exports from Canada.

    No Canadian negociator would ever agree to such terms which would sign away Canadian soveereignty.

    Sometimes I think we are back in the Banana Wars era of American foreign policy.

    Trump’s negotiators knew that the Canadians would never accept any such veto. It was a device the US government could use to show that the Canadians were being obstructive.
    Only a moron would think that could be the case of course, but this is the world we are in.

  • A good essay by Paul Krugman this morning:

    https://paulkrugman.substack.com/p/the-moose-that-roared?
  • CaissaCaissa Shipmate
    A very good essay indeed. Time to clear the benches.
  • stetsonstetson Shipmate
    edited August 24
    re: Krugman's musical coda...

    So Canada's the "perverted" ex-girlfriend who went down on you in a theatre?
  • stetsonstetson Shipmate
    One of Trump's tweets today contained a reference to Rob Ford, with the implication that Doug is an inferior leader compared to his brother.

    A rhetorical tactic of debatable wisdom, since I think that on both sides of the border, Rob Ford is remembered, if at all, largely as an unintentionally comedic buffoon. Given how little Doug publicizes his connection to Rob, we can probably conclude he rightly regards his late brother as an embarrassment, and thus a better line would be something like "He's even stupider than his white-trash cokehead brother!!"
  • I am not fond of Doug Ford, but rather liked his straightforward response to trump in an interview this morning: "Well, he can kiss my ass, as far as I'm concerned." Unlike trump, he's not usually a man who expects to be kissed on all four cheeks by anyone.
  • MarsupialMarsupial Shipmate
    A good essay by Paul Krugman this morning:

    https://paulkrugman.substack.com/p/the-moose-that-roared?

    The thing that worries me is that there doesn’t appear to be any rhyme or reason to this other than (as Krugman puts it) a dominance display. And obviously Trump doesn’t really care about harming American interests in the process, unless of course they happen to be his own interests….

    It will be interesting to see what we come up with by way of retaliation. There was clearly a concern earlier that some measures might be counterproductive but maybe the risk-benefit calculus on that isn’t what it used to be.

  • stetsonstetson Shipmate
    edited August 25
    Marsupial wrote: »
    It will be interesting to see what we come up with by way of retaliation. There was clearly a concern earlier that some measures might be counterproductive but maybe the risk-benefit calculus on that isn’t what it used to be.

    It's basically asymmetrical warfare. They wanna threaten a shitloada jobs and company-towns in Canada? We threaten a smaller number of jobs in the USA, plus maybe hike up the price of gas for a bit, in the hopes that the damage on the American side will be sensed on a more, shall we say, visceral level.
  • CaissaCaissa Shipmate
    The latest At Issue mini-panel on the broken down trade talks. Chantal Hebert's analogy to playing strip poker in a bathing suit was priceless. https://www.cbc.ca/player/play/video/9.7319110
  • CaissaCaissa Shipmate
    From CBC.ca reporting on the Canadian Government's live press conference.

    Canada hitting back with counter-tariffs
    Darren Major
    As promised, the federal government is introducing counter-tariffs on a swath of U.S. goods. These new retaliatory tariffs will have a sliding scale of 15, 25 and 50 per cent.

    The new levies will hit about $27.6 billion worth of U.S. goods, Ottawa said, including seafood, certain paper products, furniture, apparel, tools and motorcycles.

    The heftiest fees of 50 per cent are being slapped on certain dairy products, cosmetics and some lumber products.

    Steel and aluminum products were previously under a retaliatory tariff of 25 per cent, but that will increase to 50 per cent.

    These countermeasures are set to go into force on Sept. 8.
  • stetsonstetson Shipmate
    edited August 26
    Ford is back to quoting Ronald Reagan in his anti-tariff rhetoric. To an American reporter yesterday...

    President Reagan didn't believe in tariffs. President Reagan believed in growing the economy on both sides of the border...

    Not exactly the opinion I remember hearing from Canadian economic nationalists during Reagan's actual term. Though, of course, they were pushing FOR protectionism, whereas Ford is pushing against it.

    On the American side, I'm thinking this might go down like criticizing some policy of Reagan's in 1986 by pointing out it contradicts the policies of Dwight D. Eisenhower. (Personal bias, I came of political age despising Reagan as the epitome of all that was evil, but after he left office it struck me just how easy it was to forget about him. I suspect that in the year 2026, memories of him are even more faded, even among Americans who would agree with his policies if they knew what they were.)
  • stetsonstetson Shipmate
    The wikipedia article on Lake Ontario is now locked, with that title in place. And MapQuest is refusing to go along with the new rechristening.
  • Well, at worst it will be double-titled. I like how he overlooked Lake Michigan which is completely American.
  • stetsonstetson Shipmate
    I liked Wab Kinew's comparison of Trump with an aging rock star trying to revive his "golden oldie" "Gulf of America" as "Lake Ontario" and then observing "It's not his best work."
  • stetsonstetson Shipmate
    Question...

    Are the 50% tariffs in place already? I had assumed so, but I just saw an article in The Guardian that seemed to indicate they'd come into effect on Jan. 1st.
  • stetsonstetson Shipmate
    edited August 28
    ^ Just re-checked. It's the new auto/steel tariffs that kick in on Jan. 1st.
  • CaissaCaissa Shipmate
    Clean sweep in the three by-elections last night. When does PP take his walk in the snow?
  • stetsonstetson Shipmate
    Caissa wrote: »
    Clean sweep in the three by-elections last night. When does PP take his walk in the snow?

    Maybe soon, but at this particular point, I doubt it matters much who the Conservative leader is. Canadians are in the closest thing they've ever been to a war posture over economic issues(*), and Carney's the man they trust for the leadership.

    (*) Part of me does wonder if non-economic stuff like "Lake America" or Hegseth mocking cadets is more just what the kids call a terminally on-line obsession.
  • CaissaCaissa Shipmate
    What the Conservatives need to do is find their own Marc Carney. This would not be a terrible time for PP to float the idea a Union Government a la WW I.
  • Gas prices increased prices by $0.25 per litre overnight. Thanks for the tax increase, Carney.
  • My apartment in Ottawa is a ten minute bike ride from work and I live around the corner from the supermarket and pharmacy. There is a bus that goes right to work that I use during the winter months that is cheaper than paying for parking at work.

    I also live a bike ride away from church.

    Don't knock a 15-minute city until you've tried it. It's actually great and I save a fortune on gas.
  • stetsonstetson Shipmate
    Gas prices increased prices by $0.25 per litre overnight. Thanks for the tax increase, Carney.

    A layman reading your post might assume you mean that Carney implemented a tax increase that caused the price-hike. But if I'm reading the internet correctly, what's happening is that a gas-tax holiday is coming to a scheduled end in a few days. So your complaint would seem to be that the existing increase in gas-prices makes this an inopportune time to end the holiday.
  • Caissa wrote: »
    What the Conservatives need to do is find their own Marc Carney. This would not be a terrible time for PP to float the idea a Union Government a la WW I.

    Except that it would put him out of a job, not that that would be a bad thing. :smile:

    I sometimes wonder whether competent technocratic government is still within the CPC’s skill set.

  • stetsonstetson Shipmate
    Marsupial wrote: »
    Caissa wrote: »
    What the Conservatives need to do is find their own Marc Carney. This would not be a terrible time for PP to float the idea a Union Government a la WW I.

    Except that it would put him out of a job, not that that would be a bad thing. :smile:

    I sometimes wonder whether competent technocratic government is still within the CPC’s skill set.

    Possibly. Stockwell Day's Alliance got smacked down for being a buncha fundamentalist yokels in the 2000 election, and shortly thereafter SD was revealed to have doubled-down on a publically funded court-case that any first year law-student coulda told him he was gonna lose.

    By 2003, however, the conservatives had re-branded, 2006 Harper was PM(with the supposed dangerous fanatic Day managing public-safety), 2011 they had a majority. Granted, the BCP snitch-line might've been a bridge too far for most voters, but I don't recall that Vic Toews' "You're with us, or you're with the [named class of widely hated criminals]", in defense of expanding state censorship, bothered all that many people.
  • My perception of Harper was that he was smart but also extremely ideological, and inconsistent about making sure the latter didn’t overwhelm the former. The concern about the post-Harper CPC is that institutionally they seem to be allowing that to happen.

    Which is not to say that competent and technocratic is the only measure of good government but arguably it’s the priority here and now.
  • stetsonstetson Shipmate
    stetson wrote: »
    Gas prices increased prices by $0.25 per litre overnight. Thanks for the tax increase, Carney.

    A layman reading your post might assume you mean that Carney implemented a tax increase that caused the price-hike. But if I'm reading the internet correctly, what's happening is that a gas-tax holiday is coming to a scheduled end in a few days. So your complaint would seem to be that the existing increase in gas-prices makes this an inopportune time to end the holiday.

    The gas-tax jubilee has been extended to January 1st.
  • CaissaCaissa Shipmate
    That will give Tories one less thing to gripe about.
  • The price of diesel varied by about 30¢ a litre around town this morning. I try not to get too bothered about these things, but that is surely bizarre. Showing my age, 30¢ per litrewas the price of diesel when I bought my first VW in 1991!
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